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提问人:网友ufm2007 发布时间:2022-01-07
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So far, inflation is roaring in only a few sectors of the economy. While platinum has soar

ed 121 percent, soybeans have risen 115 percent, and an index of Real Estate Investment Trusts has climbed 42 percent since May 2001, the consumer price index (CPI) has gone up only 4.2 percent during the same period. The challenge is figuring out what happens next.

Astute investors are asking two questions: 1) Will the dollar continue to decline? 2) Which assets will continue to inflate?

The value of the dollar matters because much of what Americans buy comes from abroad. And in the past two years, the dollar has been slipping badly: down some 25 percent against a basket of foreign currencies, including the euro and the yen. That makes imported goods more expensive. If the dollar falls further, the rise in prices could boost inflation.

And that's exactly what some analysts predict. "This is not a run-of-the-mill problem where the currency corrects 25 percent" then stabilizes, says David Tice, Dallas-based manager of the Prudent Global Income Fund. "We have an economy that's very dependent upon ever-increasing amounts of debt. Look at borrowing in this country for automobiles and housing. At the federal level, we are creating credit as if it is going out of style. Given that, we think the dollar can decline substantially more from here."

That's why Mr. Tice's income fund has invested in government bonds in countries that are major trading partners of the US. These bonds tend to increase in value as the dollar weakens.

There are other ways for investors to protect themselves from inflation. For example: TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) are US government bonds that increase both principal and interest payments in line with the CPI/U, which measures prices for urban dwellers. Thus, if the price of consumer goods goes up, TIPS owners get a boost in their rate of return. That's a level of inflation protection that most bonds and money-market funds don't provide.

Still, there are no guarantees. If real interest rates rise faster than inflation, TIPS can lose value if they' re not held to maturity. "TIPS have generally been less volatile than traditional bonds," but investors have already seen periods when their inflation-protection doesn't match the actual rise in prices, warns Duane Cabrera, head of the personal financial planning group at Vanguard, based in Valley Forge, Pa. For example, the year-over-year change in the CPI/U is running about 1.9 percent, he points out, but college costs have been rising about 5 percent annually.

Investors should also discuss the tax consequences with their investment advisers, Mr. Cabrera notes.

On the stock front, investors can also turn to natural-resource stocks or mutual funds that invest in them. A slightly more exotic option: exchange-traded funds, which act like mutual funds but trade like stocks.

Commodities offer another avenue for profit during inflationary times. Individual investors probably want to avoid commodity trading, often a wild and woolly experience. But certain mutual funds offer share- holders a chance to profit when commodity prices go up. The PIMCO Commodity Real Return Fund, for example, provides exposure to the performance of the Dow-Jones AIG Commodity Index while generating income from TIPS. Another option: the Oppenheimer Real Asset Fund, which is actively managed and tracks the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index.

There's no clear winner between these stock funds and the commodities their companies have invested in. When commodity prices are hiring, natural-resource firms can protect themselves by hedging their risks, says Kevin Baum, portfolio manager of the Oppenheimer Real Asset Fund. On the other hand, hedging may keep them from benefiting when commodity prices rise. And the stocks can be more volatile than the commodities themselves. Gold funds typically are thr

A.the US economy is very dependent upon ever-increasing amounts of debt

B.the amount of borrowing today in the US for automobiles and housing is getting bigger and bigger

C.one of the main reasons for the depreciation of dollar is the ever increasing amounts of US domestic debts

D.the US federal government is creating credit because the people have already showed unwillingness to be indebted

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更多“So far, inflation is roaring in only a few sectors of the economy. While platinum has soar”相关的问题
第1题
Section C (每题3分,共15分) Directions: In this section, you will hear 2 short passages twice. At the end of each passage, some questions will be asked. After each question, there will be a pause. During the pause, you must read the four choices marked A, B, C, and D and decide which one is the best answer. Then write down the corresponding letter on the Answer Sheet. Passage 1

A、The growth of Detroit as an industrial city.

B、Detroit, the fifth largest city in the U.S.A.

C、The geographical advantages of Detroit.

D、The car industry in the U.S.A.

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第2题
What does the author probably mean by "scored a great coup" (Para. 5)?

A.Failed.

B.Succeeded.

C.Criticized.

D.Advocated.

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第3题
Which of the following is NOT a feasible way for investors to protect themselves from inflation?

A.To invest in government bonds in countries that are major trading partners of the US.

B.To hold TIPS always to maturity.

C.To turn to natural-resource stocks or mutual funds that invest in them.

D.To try Commodities sometimes.

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第4题
Which of the following is true about the commodity trading?

A.When commodity prices are falling, natural-resource firms loses money.

B.Stock funds benefit when commodity prices rise.

C.Individual investors should hold on to a commodities fund when they have decided upon it.

D.Market performances of the stock funds and the commodities they have invested in are not necessarily the same.

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第5题
If the dollar continues to decline, which of the following would be a possible result?

A.Prices would fall.

B.Importing would become expensive.

C.Pressure of inflation would be lessened.

D.Consumers would be more willing to borrow money from banks.

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第6题
In the passage, the author wants to tell us______.

A.that people dreamed of leaving their home planet and exploring other worlds became reality

B.after the Apollo program, the emphasis in piloted missions shifted to short-duration spaceflight

C.space exploration is a great challenge to human beings and will be achieved through generation's work

D.today efforts focus on keeping people healthy during space missions and in increasing the cost of sending satellites into orbit

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第7题
"If real interest rates rise faster than inflation, TIPS can lose value if they're not held to maturity."In the 7th paragraph, this suggests all of the following except that

A.the market performance of most bonds are rather sensitive to the fluctuation of real interest rates

B.TIPS is a kind of long-term bond

C.most traders prefer bonds with a safe rate of return

D.TIPS tends to be inactive on the market because of light trading of this bond

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第8题
In a new book called Predictions, some of the world' s greatest thinkers present a vision of the future with overtones of a science fiction film. Futuristic author Arthur C Clarke and others suggest that a new life form. will evolve from artificially intelligent machines. Humans vying for dominance will turn to genetics and cryogenics to compete.

Clarke, although he is seen as a visionary, has got it wrong before. There's no sign of Hal the dominating computer from the film 2001: A Space Odyssey (written by Arthur C Clarke) appearing on the horizon next year to dominate human life. Even so, computers have changed the way that we work and play. The Internet is changing business, seemingly sweeping everything along on an e-tide. The Web will change the way we work — more of us will work from home.

Futurist Ian Pearson sees a convergence between intelligent computers and biotechnology, the advent of implanted chips and enhanced intelligence. Both machines and humans will have access to a global net with instant access to the world' s knowledge. But Pearson also fears that it could divide the world into two classes — those with access to this knowledge and those without access. And obviously there is a risk in losing control of things that think. Pearson expects machines to be as smart as humans by 2015. After that, computers will continue to get smarter.

The trouble with the digital revolution, says MIT Media Lab director Neil Gershenfeld in his book When Things Start to Think, is that computers may have speeded up many of the processes 0f modem life, but they still remain relatively difficult to use. "Most computers are nearly blind, deaf and dumb," says Gershenfeld. "These inert machines channel the richness of human communication through a keyboard and mouse. The speed of the computer is increasingly much less of a concern than the difficulty in telling it what you want it to do, or in understanding what it has done, or in using it where you want to go, rather than where it can go."

What's needed now, he concludes, is digital evolution. The real challenge is how to create systems with many components that can work together and change, merging the physical world with the digital world.

"If we can manage the development so that they (thinking machines) stay our friends, in just a few years we'll see progress in every area of life that makes the preceding millennia look like we've all been asleep."

Evolution is a consequence of interaction, says Gershenfeld. "And information technology is profoundly changing how we interact. Therefore it's not crazy to think about the impact of this on evolution."

From paragraph 4, we can deduce that______.

A.the speed of computers is faster than ever

B.scientists encounter unprecedented difficulties

C.the intelligence of computers is more important than the speed

D.there is much room for the improvement of computer intelligence

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第9题
When the author says that it's not crazy to think about the impact of this on evolution, he means______.

A.the progress in biography is so great that people feel astonished

B.the progress in cryogenics is so great that people feel astonished

C.the progress in information technology has great influence on human

D.the progress in information technology is beneficial to human

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第10题
The author's attitude towards intelligent seem to be that______.

A.opposition

B.approval

C.suspicion

D.indifference

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